New Podcast: Upcoming Cold and Potential Snow, and Why Did Wednesday's Storm Forecast Go Wrong?

We have an interesting week ahead (more below).  We start with generally dry conditions for most days through Thursday as high pressure build over the region.   But as the high pressure moves offshore, our region moves into much colder northerly flow.  And embedded in that northerly flow there are some wet disturbances that could bring lowland snow.   Too early to have any confidence in the forecast.  

And then there was the windstorm on Wednesday morning.  Why did the US model underplay it and the vaunted European Center model get it right?   I talk about all of this on the podcast.

Here is my podcast:
Click the play button to listen or use your favorite streaming service (see below)

But since I know many of you are interest in cold and snow, let me give you a view of the latest forecast for the end of the week.

The latest UW WRF pressure and temperature forecast for Friday morning is quite cold, with blue colors showing low-level temperatures cold enough for snow.  But in this forecast, not enough moisture, with strong northeasterly winds.


The U.S. ensemble system (GEFS) that runs the global forecast model many times to get at uncertainty is emphatic and confident that our temperatures will plummet.   Get your wool sweaters ready!


The highly skillful European Center model is forecasting some light lowland snow over portions of the region (see forecast snow totals over the next ten days)
Image courtesy of WeatherBell, Inc.

And the European Center forecast for Seattle projects cooling temperatures and .7 inches of snowfall.


The cold you can bank on.  The snow has a lot of uncertainty.  Stay tuned.

You can stream my podcast from your favorite services:

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